Thursday, October 23, 2014
Wednesday, September 17, 2014
Let's take a look at history:
Tuesday, July 8, 2014
The sun is now shining in the Bluegrass of Kentucky as of 9:30EDT and instability is on the way up. Outflow boundaries from last night's storms have left areas to generate new storms upon. Moisture is there and forcing will be there later today as the front approaches. This should set the stage for another round of storms that will be more widespread across Kentucky this evening.
The tornado threat will be higher to our NE across parts of PA but it will still be non-zero across KY as well. The main threat though is wind damage here and SPC has included most of KY in the high-end Slight Risk for wind damage today.
Stay weather aware!
Monday, June 2, 2014
It's been a while since I made time for a blog post but I think it's time to discuss what's going on in the world of Kentucky weather. First of all, how about this humidity?! Crazy isn't it? Typically we get into the middle part of Summer before it really gets sticky. This year however we've already gone straight to 70°F dewpoint temps before May even came to an end. I admit, I did not expect that after the Winter we just came from. My Spring outlook worked out pretty good in Kentucky overall though with a calm severe weather season that picked up a little as time moved forward. But now we're staring straight at Summer and the weather is becoming very active.
For this upcoming week what we've got to keep an eye on is a possible outbreak of severe weather that could stretch from South Dakota all the way into the Appalachian mountains by week's end. The models are indicating this to occur as a large MCS (mesoscale convective system) that would race eastward and leave large amounts of damage in it's wake, possibly even as a Derecho. However, the exact storm mode is not known just yet. Here's how the WRF model sees things as of the wee hours of the morning on Wednesday:
Even though I'm not sure of what mode this storm activity will take on, I am pretty confident in saying that there will be an outbreak of storms across the nation's midsection this week and it will likely end up leaving quite a bit of damage behind. Kentucky may get in on this action Wednesday, as the MCS strikes us from the northwest. Here is the current convective outlook from the Storm Prediction Center valid on Wednesday the 4th of June:
So keep in mind if you will be outdoors this week that severe weather is a good possibility and plan accordingly. As of right now, I believe that wind damage will be widespread and will be the main threat, especially in areas to our northwest. However, tornadoes and some hail will also be possible. As always, stay alert and keep the NOAA weather radios on. You can follow me on Twitter @WXinKY
Wednesday, May 7, 2014
The lack of severe weather has been pretty astonishing this Spring. But it wasn’t totally unexpected. And though we did have one outbreak with fatalities last week, people are thankful that it hasn’t been a typical season.
We do have a slow moving system headed toward the Ohio Valley this weekend that will usher in a pattern change. Say bye bye to the 80s for a while as thunderstorms and rain become common Friday-Tuesday, followed by cooler weather for next week.
Right now it appears that the parent low will scoot off into Canada and take the dynamics with it, so severe weather looks unlikely in Kentucky this weekend. Plenty of rain for the flowers and trees coming up though.
I know I haven’t written much lately, but there hasn’t really been much to write about! The weather this entire year has been benign of t-storms so far. Business may still pick up later in May and into early Summer.