After looking over the latest data on the ENSO cycle, the MJO, NAO, PNA teleconnections, and throwing in a little bit of experience and gut feeling, I have made a few edits to the winter outlook for Kentucky. I also added a tidbit about possibilities for spring 2016. This will be the final revision.
Keep in mind that severe weather can and sometimes does occur in winter here in KY, particularly in these types of patterns. And that will also be something that we'll have to watch closely from March-May 2016 because many times we do see a large increase in severe weather outbreaks following these El Nino years.
So there you have it. I have often said that harsh winters strike KY every other decade. The 1950s, 70s, and 90s all featured terrible winters, and so I expected the '10s to give us some harsh ones and the 2012-2015 period proved to do just that. I think this winter our utility bills will be a little lower than what we've been seeing.