Good afternoon. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for much of the Bluegrass of Kentucky valid until 21:00 tonight. I suspect that this won't be the only watch box issued as we head into the afternoon and evening hours.
Here is a look at the current watch, as well as current warnings:
The high resolution models point toward convection blowing up rapidly across east-central Kentucky this afternoon....basically in and around the Lexington area. This will occur as a warm front lifts northeastward through the area today, and runs into a very unstable atmosphere. SPC has increased the tornado threat for us as well. This morning they indicated a 2% chance of a twister here... now we are in the 5% range.
We will need to keep a sharp eye on the weather this afternoon! Tonight and especially tomorrow morning, the cold front of this system will approach and this may trigger more severe weather, particularly if the front slows down which would allow it to come through during the afternoon hours.
Just make sure to keep your NOAA weather radio on at all times so you can recieve the latest warnings as they come out. If you have outdoor plans today, I'd definitely recommend having a plan in case a severe storm approaches your location.
-Shawn
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