Update (13:06EDT 26-June-2013):
It is gametime. It now appears that central KY is the prime spot for severe weather across the nation today. Lexington, KY is the center of the tornado threat zone (5%). Widespread severe weather and high wind will be possible across southern IN, most of KY, and parts of TN before nightfall. Be prepared for flash flooding, dangerous lightning, and large hail also. It's about to get ugly.
Update (14:01EDT 25-June-2013):
It is gametime. It now appears that central KY is the prime spot for severe weather across the nation today. Lexington, KY is the center of the tornado threat zone (5%). Widespread severe weather and high wind will be possible across southern IN, most of KY, and parts of TN before nightfall. Be prepared for flash flooding, dangerous lightning, and large hail also. It's about to get ugly.
Update (14:01EDT 25-June-2013):
The Storm Prediction Center has just upgraded most of Kentucky to it's 30% probability range for tomorrow. The ingredients are starting to come together nicely for a severe weather outbreak Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning. Tornadoes will be possible, but large hail and high wind will be more likely. This activity may affect all areas in and around Kentucky Speedway. People camping should stay alert and keep the NOAA weather radios nearby at all times Wednesday and Thursday.
Previous discussion:
Race fans showing up at Kentucky Speedway on Thursday will likely need to bring the ponchos and umbrellas. It appears that a weather system will drop in from the north and bring a good chance for thunderstorms to the region. Some of the rain could be heavy. While every place won’t see rain all day, I would prepare for a wet Thursday.
The rest of the NASCAR weekend looks better with smaller chances for storms, but still a chance for storms nonetheless. Outside of thunderstorms temperatures will be very warm with highs close to 90. If we see sunshine most of the day, the green flag weather will be uncomfortably hot Saturday. Hopefully there’ll be a mix of clouds to keep the heat down this weekend.
Overall it looks like about a 70% shot at rain on Thursday, and then more of a 30% shot of rain Friday and Saturday. We could see another MCS drop in late Saturday night or Sunday morning with a re-enforcing blow of thunderstorms.
Stay safe and enjoy the weekend. I’ll be watching from the couch this year.
-Shawn
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