Thursday, May 2, 2013

Kentucky Derby Looks Wet

It looks like the weather for KY Oaks will be nice.  There is a small chance of a shower or two, but I think that the day will mostly be dry in Louisville, as well as in all areas of Kentucky along and east of I-65.

The computer modeling is pretty locked onto the idea of swinging the axis of rain eastward into the state on Saturday, however.  It looks like the entire swath of rain and embedded lightning strikes here and there will spin around the gyre and so the Louisville area will see a good soaking leading up to, and during, the KY Derby this year.  If you are a gambler, it's time to put your money on the horse that's a good "mudder".

Here's the depiction from the latest Hi-Resolution NAM model.  Notice the axis of rain directly over central Kentucky:




-Shawn

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