The computer modeling is pretty locked onto the idea of swinging the axis of rain eastward into the state on Saturday, however. It looks like the entire swath of rain and embedded lightning strikes here and there will spin around the gyre and so the Louisville area will see a good soaking leading up to, and during, the KY Derby this year. If you are a gambler, it's time to put your money on the horse that's a good "mudder".
Here's the depiction from the latest Hi-Resolution NAM model. Notice the axis of rain directly over central Kentucky:
-Shawn
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