Another weather system will come through Kentucky on Valentine’s Day. Depending on where you are exactly, you may see rain, snow, or a mix of the two. Let’s break it down:
Timing: Precipitation may break out across central Kentucky as early as late morning, though the brunt of the system looks to come through later in the day. The late afternoon rush may be impacted, as will evening travel in areas that see snow accumulation.
Amounts: If you draw a line basically along the Bluegrass Parkway from Elizabethtown to Lexington and then along I-64 to Ashland, this will roughly be the cutoff line for accumulation with this system in my opinion. South of this line, it appears that surface temperatures will move into the upper 30s tomorrow which will drastically cut down on accumulations. North of this line we will have the best shot at putting more snow on the ground, with 1 to 3 inches of snow possible. Even farther north into Ohio and Indiana amounts will be less because this looks like a compact and relatively small system that will push through. The northern half of Kentucky is basically where the most action will be in terms of snowfall.
Impacts: Travel will become dangerous in and around Louisville, Frankfort, Lexington, and Maysville by Friday evening. This system appears to be a small one, but a strong one. It may drop a quick 1-3 inches of snow in this area, with a few isolated spots nearing 4 inches. In my opinion will we probably see the NWS issue a Winter Weather Advisory for this area later today. In southern Kentucky, a rain/snow mix will likely turn to all rain during the afternoon and then end as snow late Friday night. Little to no accumulation is expected here.
If you have plans to go out Valentine’s night, plan to take your time and drive slowly. Be careful and don’t ruin your night!
-Shawn
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