Well we’re getting pretty close to showtime now, so I just took a peak at today’s 12Z model runs and it still looks exactly the way it has for days. The bluegrass counties of Kentucky are going to be dangerously close to seeing an ice storm…but we may just barely escape.
Today’s run of the GFS shows this well. It looks like there’ll be a window of about 7 hours where the counties along I-64 and north of there will be at or below freezing Thursday night into Friday morning. During this time, freezing rain may accumulate on elevated surfaces. After sunrise, the temperature will warm to above freezing area wide and the ice will start to melt away and we’ll just see plain rain. But from around midnight through 6:00AM Friday don’t be surprised to see a glaze of ice outside.
As it stands right now, this looks like rain for southern Kentucky and freezing rain for northern KY giving way to plain rain during the day Friday. The overall impact will not be severe like we’ve seen from ice storms of recent years…but travel could become dangerous so slow down and take your time!
School closings are going to be a tough call in many counties. This will be another situation where it’ll be interesting to see what they decide to do.
Shawn
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