First Snow Day of the Season for Many Central Kentucky Schools

Afternoon Update:

Looks like GFS and Euro are starting to fall in agreement with the Friday system.  Both models show a weaker system, but, both models also show temperatures being cold enough to keep this as all snow.  So without further delay, here are the GFS precip. and surface temp. charts for Friday afternoon:

And here are the precip. and surface temp. charts from today's Euro model for the same time on Friday:

See how temperatures stay below freezing here, but the moisture stays mostly shunted to the south of us?  This would drastically reduce accumulations here.  However, this is still a better snow scenario for the winter lovers because you're not dealing with warm ground or a mixed bag of precip.  Instead, you get frozen ground and ALL snow if these model runs verify.  So, it still could make for a sloppy Friday morning around central Kentucky.  And...it still could be the first snow day for many schools around this area.  

I'll keep an eye on things and by tomorrow we'll have this storm nailed down good.

Previous discussion:

Good Tuesday morning.  Hope you had a nice weekend.  I did.  J  I avoided the computer and enjoyed the nice weather.

This week we are getting off to a much colder start.  In Lawrenceburg, we bottomed out around 10 degrees this morning.  Still not what I’d call hard core…but it’s definitely getting colder.  Our attention is now turned to a storm system that the models are hinting at for Friday.  A weak wave will move through our area from west to east starting Friday morning and lasting into the afternoon.  Depending on which model you use, this could be a rain/snow mix, or it could be a healthy pure snowfall for central Kentucky.  The ECMWF is currently showing 6-8” of snow for the Lexington area.

I want to look at the 12Z data from today, and then I’ll post an update with some maps this afternoon.  Bundle up out there!

Shawn